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- May 5, 2013
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hi folks, just thought i'd share where i think the weather will be heading in the next few weeks and the longer term.
In the shorter term over the next few weeks it is looking fairly average, the ensembles are pointing to a mix of your usual wintry story with some frosts possible but mainly Atlantic dominated, mild and rainy... winds predominantly coming from SW/W/NW.
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it may cool off a little next week but nothing to write home about.
Its the end of the month which currently has eyes peeled. There are early signs of a Sudden Stratospheric Warming occurring. This can disrupt the normally uniform rock solid polar vortex and displace colder air to lower latitudes. Models are hinting at this:
This could mean we see a colder beginning to Feb with a more wintry look... however its a fair way off and the usual decisive factor is the jet stream which this year has been quite active and the reason we have dragged in so many depressions from the Atlantic. If the Jet moves to a more Southerly trend then this could also facilitate colder inroads. I'll keep you posted, just thought i'd share where I think we are heading. Hoping we don't end up with another extended winter like last year.
Roola
In the shorter term over the next few weeks it is looking fairly average, the ensembles are pointing to a mix of your usual wintry story with some frosts possible but mainly Atlantic dominated, mild and rainy... winds predominantly coming from SW/W/NW.
it may cool off a little next week but nothing to write home about.
Its the end of the month which currently has eyes peeled. There are early signs of a Sudden Stratospheric Warming occurring. This can disrupt the normally uniform rock solid polar vortex and displace colder air to lower latitudes. Models are hinting at this:
This could mean we see a colder beginning to Feb with a more wintry look... however its a fair way off and the usual decisive factor is the jet stream which this year has been quite active and the reason we have dragged in so many depressions from the Atlantic. If the Jet moves to a more Southerly trend then this could also facilitate colder inroads. I'll keep you posted, just thought i'd share where I think we are heading. Hoping we don't end up with another extended winter like last year.
Roola